Equity

Investment Insights by our experts and thought leaders

The BOJ's Bold Move is Not a Shot in a Currency War

Unfortunately for the soundness of the sleep among BOJ-watchers, Mr. Kuroda believes that surprising the market is the best way to achieve his intended result.

Tea and divining the price of oil -- Oil in the 20's: overshooting on the downside

Our Singapore Multi-Asset and Equity team analysts cover oil’s swoon using a bit of humor, but the clear-cut conclusion is of great importance.

The Japanese Equity Outlook After the Nasty New Year Start

Our Chief Global Strategist regards Japan positively in the global-macro context and predicts that Japanese equities will outperform global equities in the first half of 2016.

Japan Equity Outlook 2016

Our Chief Investment Officer in Japan details the many reasons for optimism on Japanese equities in 2016

Asian Equity Monthly Outlook - January 2016

In USD terms, the MSCI AC Asia ex Japan Index finished 0.5% lower for the month, while the MSCI AC World Index closed 1.8% weaker.

US & China Economies Sturdy in 2016; So-So for EZ and Japan

Nikko Asset Management's Global Investment Committee met on December 8th and updated our intermediate-term house view on the global economic backdrop, central bank policies, financial markets and investment strategy advice.

We forecast that Asia Pac ex Japan, Japan and Europe will outperform in the next six months, while the US should underperform and, thus, deserve an underweight stance vs. all other regions.

Asian Equity Monthly Outlook - December 2015

The MSCI Asia ex Japan Index fell 3.4% in USD terms, underperforming MSCI AC World Index. Malaysia, being the only net commodity exporting country within the Asia ex Japan region, was the only market which proved positive returns (in USD terms) in November, aided by strong currency.

Asian Equity Monthly Outlook - November 2015

The MSCI AC Asia ex Japan Index rose 8.0% in USD terms, broadly in line with MSCI AC World Index. All Asia ex Japan currencies except the Philippine Peso strengthened against the US dollar in October.

Asian Equity Monthly Outlook - October 2015

The MSCI AC Asia ex Japan Index was down 1.8% in USD terms in September which masked the volatility where the markets oscillated within a wide range of 10%.

Valuation in a Post-QE World

Markets and economies are still being dictated to by unprecedented levels of monetary stimulus. We believe in building a portfolio of companies that are more likely to flourish in the growth environment beyond 2015.

Asian Equity Monthly Outlook - September 2015

Asian equities fell 9.8%, underperforming the MSCI AC World Index by 3.2%, in USD terms. This marked the worst monthly performance for MSCI Asia ex-Japan Index since May 2012.

Looking at how Japanese companies fared with their April-June quarterly earnings, we can see that automobile manufacturers and major electronics producers posted large profit growth on the back of the weak yen and strong sales in the North American market.

Japan's "Show Me the Money" Corporate Governance - September 2015

We explain how Abenomics is the "icing on the cake" of corporate governance improvement over the last decade.

Fintech Evolution in China

The internet revolution is coming to the financial sector, addressing inefficiencies in current system and business models. In China’s case we are witnessing a combination of financial liberalisation with an internet revolution in the financial sector.

Economic Disappointment in Japan? Key points to remember (again)

As has long been our view, disappointing economic data should not worry investors in Japanese risk assets very much at all.

Asian Equity Monthly Outlook - August 2015

Asian equities fell 6.3%, underperforming the MSCI AC World Index by 8.1% in USD terms. MSCI EM Asia Index was down 6.9% in USD terms, its worst monthly performance since May 2012.

Asian Equity Monthly Outlook - July 2015

The MSCI AC Asia ex-Japan fell -3.7 % in June in USD terms, lagging the MSCI AC World by 1.4%. Asia ex-Japan markets continued to give up year-to-date gains in June as the old adage of sell in May and go away continued to hold true.

G-3 Economies Should Continue Rebounding

We believe the global economy should be quite firm for the next year, but not so strong as to cause inflation concerns.

Central Banks: Our Logic For Fed Hiking Three Times This Year

We have a non-consensus, but completely sound call for a more aggressive Fed, whereas we expect the ECB and BOJ to maintain their current aggressive easing program.

Asset Class Forecasts: Maintain Overweight Global Equities

We calculate that equity valuations are at fair levels and that stocks can grow along with earnings.

Asian Equity Monthly Outlook - June 2015

The MSCI AC Asia ex-Japan returned -2.6% in May, lagging the MSCI AC World by 2.9%, in USD terms.Asian equities underperformed other Emerging Markets (EMs), particularly Brazil and Russia, which rallied sharply.

Japan's “Show Me the Money” Corporate Governance - June 2015

We expect that profit margins will expand further in coming quarters, driven by a large corporate tax cut and continued industry rationalizations that further prove that Japan's structural profitability trend continues upward.

Asian Equity Monthly Outlook - May 2015

The MSCI AC Asia ex-Japan returned 7.2% in April after shrugging off initial weakness and outperformed the MSCI AC World by 2.3% in April in USD terms.

Japanese Overseas Equity Exposure Rising

We expect that Japanese pension funds will continue to shift their investments into risky assets in 2015.

China's LGFV debt swap – Shining light on the Shadows

The importance of President Xi Jinping's strong leadership cannot be stressed enough. Under him China is undergoing dramatic changes. While the most thorough cleansing of state corruption is ongoing, elements of China's grand strategy are becoming more evident both domestically and on the global stage.

Asian Equity Monthly Outlook - April 2015

The MSCI Asia-Pacific ex-Japan returned -0.3% in March after shrugging off initial weakness and outperformed the MSCI AC World by 1.3% in March in USD terms.

The New Governance Code – What impact will it have on Japanese companies?

Due to the developments described in this article, there is ample room for growth at Japanese firms and much opportunity for investment success.

G-3 Economies Should Rebound Nicely

In sum, there certainly are some worrisome issues, as always, but we find none of them convincing enough to prevent moderate increases in equity prices.

Regional Equity and Asset Class Forecasts

Coupled with our expectation for global bond yields to rise moderately, we maintain our overweight view on global equities vs. bonds.

Japanese Equity: Improved Export Data May Indicate Turning Point for Japan

The recovery in profits by Japanese export firms should continue to attract the attention of the markets in the first half of 2015.

Asian Equity Monthly Outlook - March 2015

The MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan gained 3.71% but underperformed the MSCI World which gained 6.43% in SGD terms. The MSCI World’s strong performance was attributable to the supportive external backdrop with improving economic indicators out of Europe.

European Property: Does it Signal Global Deflation?

Through 2014, one of the largest asset classes in the world was virtually unnoticed as an indicator that Europe is not pushing the global economy into widespread deflation.

Asian Equity Monthly Outlook - February 2015

Asia Pacific ex-Japan markets outperformed its global peers, registering a return of 3.8% in SGD terms as compared to the MSCI World index which gained only 0.4% in SGD terms, primarily due to the stronger Greater China region and Indian markets which were the best performing markets in January.

Asian Equity Monthly Outlook - January 2015

Asia Pacific ex-Japan markets did better than other emerging markets, posting a negative return of 2.1% in USD terms as compared to the latter which returned -4.6% in USD terms as it was dragged down by Russia.

Market Commentary – Reasons for Oil Prices Rebound

Clearly, oil prices have fallen further than nearly everyone anticipated. When our Global Investment Committee met in December, Brent was trading at $66.

NZ market insights - Farmgate Milk Price Update

Supply-side shocks and market distortions have created a degree of uncertainty over the short to medium-term outlook for the New Zealand dairy industry.

Our Regional Equity and Asset Class Forecasts

The investment world is changing quickly and 2015 should prove to be a very interesting year, but we see no reason to change our long-held positive view on global equities.

China's Re-stimulation and Emerging Market Divergence

China's economy likely slowed much more than the official statistics show; otherwise, the government would not have reversed course on its various crackdowns, especially on the property market.

Asian Equity Monthly Outlook - December 2014

Asia Pacific ex-Japan markets were volatile in November, with the MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan Index down 1.3%, dragged down by MSCI Australia Index which returned -6.3% in USD terms.

Identifying the key themes for tomorrow's Asia

Asia is evolving rapidly, which has implications for investors globally. It should no longer be viewed as just a cheap manufacturing hub, but a region with high value-added industries catering to an increasingly wealthy middle class.

Revisiting the age-old debate on value vs growth investing

Revisiting the age-old debate on value vs growth investing

Many empirical studies have shown that a value style approach to investing in Australian shares has consistently outperformed growth investing - and with less risk.

Asian Equity Monthly Outlook - November 2014

Asia ex-Japan markets bounced back towards the end of October returning 2% for the month in USD terms and outperforming the MSCI World index by 1.4%.

Changing of the guards in Asia

Is political democracy good for economic growth and ultimately, stock markets in Asia? Indisputably, sound political systems are crucial for economic development and progress.

Asian Equity Monthly Outlook - October 2014

Asia Pacific markets succumbed to profit-taking after registering seven consecutive months of positive USD based returns. The MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan Index was down 7.2% for the month in USD terms as the strengthening dollar magnified the loss.

Australian Equity: Market Commentary - September 2014

A confluence of factors worked against the Australian market during the month. Regulatory concerns in the banking sector, lower commodity prices and a weaker Australian dollar were the key drivers of the market’s underperformance.

Asian Equity Monthly Outlook - September 2014

Asia Pacific ex-Japan markets gave back some of the year-to-date (YTD) outperformance versus its global peers. The MSCI Asia Pacific ex Japan index returned 0.8% in the month of August, underperforming the MSCI World by 1.4%.

Asian Equity Monthly Outlook - August 2014

Asia Pacific ex-Japan markets outperformed their global counterparts, bolstered by strong price returns in China and Hong Kong which were up 7.3% and 6% in USD terms respectively.

Japan's Dividend Resurgence: “Show Me the Money”

Last month we described Japan’s “Show me the Money” corporate governance as regards the sharp rise in corporate profit margins to new highs. This theme is paralleled by the trend in dividend payments.

Asian Equity Monthly Outlook - July 2014

Asia Pacific ex-Japan markets performed in-line with global counterparts returning 1.7% in USD terms versus 1.8% for MSCI World.