Insights

Investment Insights by our experts and thought leaders

We forecast that Asia Pac ex Japan, Japan and Europe will outperform in the next six months, while the US should underperform and, thus, deserve an underweight stance vs. all other regions.

India: Modi Mania

Our investment management teams have again come together to update their views given new developments in India.

Asian Fixed Income Monthly Outlook - December 2015

US Treasuries (USTs) yields ended the month higher. October non-farm payrolls indicated a surge in job growth, keeping the US Federal Reserve (Fed) on course for a possible rate hike in December.

Asian Equity Monthly Outlook - December 2015

The MSCI Asia ex Japan Index fell 3.4% in USD terms, underperforming MSCI AC World Index. Malaysia, being the only net commodity exporting country within the Asia ex Japan region, was the only market which proved positive returns (in USD terms) in November, aided by strong currency.

Japan's revised GDP: No Recession as Inventories Finally Realistic

Looking forward, even though inventories were revised higher, their long depletion means they remain far too low in my view, and should continue start to rise significantly in the quarters and years ahead.

Divergent monetary policy in US and Europe: Can it last?

As we enter 2016, we believe the divergent monetary policy theme will continue -- with the major risk to global bond markets and Fed rate rises continuing to be Europe.

The Japan Update – The Japanese Government’s Objectives for TPP

A framework agreement for the Trans-Pacific Partnership was reached in October 2015, and the governments of participant countries are working to ratify the agreement and formally launch the partnership.

With the aim of significantly liberalizing trade within the Asia-Pacific region, and thereby boosting trade and investment among the region's countries, a framework agreement for the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was reached in 2015.

The Japan Update – Japan Inbound Consumption Continues to Grow

Inbound consumption by overseas visitors to Japan continues to grow. For the nine-month period from January to September 2015, such consumption totalled a cumulative ¥2.6 trillion (approx. US$21.7 billion), which already represents a higher amount than that for all of 2014.

What's to come? - China's RMB as a global reserve currency

The IMF's decision to include the Renminbi into the SDR is a major push for the RMB to become one of the world's major reserve currencies.